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I fell in love with homes when I came to understand the manner in which they are woven into the fabric of the economy, and I'd love to share this with you as succinctly as I can.
Ultimately I hope to answer the three following questions for you - when the Federal Reserve (The Fed), raise or lower interest rates, how and why does it affect mortgages? What does it mean for the market? And most importantly, how does that affect you?
To preface this short article, this article is exactly that - short, brief, and hopefully, a tad insightful.
There are many layers and facets that impact the beautiful relationships that exist in our economy, but I hope those of you who understand this process forgive my “glazing” over of the topic at hand, and those who understand this least have gained a more tangible frame of reference.
Bonds : They come in many forms and are calculated investments that are rated by bond rating agencies as either high risk, or low risk. Just as any other risk in life, the higher the risk, the higher the return, and vice versa. What also makes Bonds attractive is that they can be resold and traded in the public markets, making them very “liquid”.
Amongst these Bonds are Treasury notes and Treasury bonds, and for the purposes of this article let’s call both Treasuries. Treasuries are backed by the U.S. Government and are deemed low risk for the return they provide – if the return on Treasuries increase, other bonds in the market must also follow suit and raise their returns to remain attractive; on the other hand, if the return on Treasury bonds fall too low, investors would surely seek higher returns away from Treasuries, such as mortgage-backed securities.
When the feds cut or raise rates, the rate they are controlling is the Federal Fund Rate and this is a Target Rate to reach and maintain through various instruments that they influence, such as overnight loans between different banks. To keep things simple let us refer to this as the “Rate”.
After the Rate is lowered, the Fed could buy or sell the government bonds in the open market to increase or decrease the overall money supply - this action lowers or raises the rates used by other financial institutions when they loan to one another, which indirectly affects the rate at which banks lend to the market at large, specifically, the Prime Rate: the rate used to provide loans to their best creditworthy borrowers.
With the above kept in mind, banks keep mortgage rates just a few points higher than Treasuries, this variance between the two is typically enough to keep investors pushed towards mortgage backed securities as an investment, and as rates on Treasuries rise, banks can raise rates on mortgages to maintain their appeal to investors; On the other hand, higher rates tighten the money supply and detract potential home buyers from entering the market to purchase a home because the rate of their potential mortgage will be higher and less affordable – this can drive down the overall demand in the housing market, and assuming the supply remains the same in both scenarios, home prices will typically react to the drop in demand by following suit.
Remember that your mortgage is a debt that you promised to pay monthly at whatever rate was agreed upon on your Promissory Note, but to an investor, your mortgage is an investment opportunity with a promised return for the term of your loan, and the world of fractional financing allows institutions to sell your loan to investors seeking this return on their money - just as bonds are competing to attract an investor for yields on their investments.
In Summary - to the government, a house is a fragment of a mortgage-backed security, in a nutshell, it's an investment to be bought and sold on the open market - increasing capital and providing additional financing options for a multitude of sectors.
To the bank, a house is collateral, tied to a Deed of Trust or Mortgage that securitizes a bill that must be paid as agreed upon to the mortgagee.
To a county, a house is a building on a parcel of land with a designated address and an assessed value used to measure the amount of taxes to collect to fund the various programs these funds are allocated to.
To a family, a house is a home, a start of a new beginning, new memories, a small step closer towards a feeling of immortality through permanence, it's equity, it's a safety net, it's the decider of what school your kids will go to and potentially the decider of what color and letter sticker you will have to put on your car in order to remain parked in a 2 hour time zone (San Francisco Joke).
A home is all these things and more, and I sincerely hope that this article has been an insightful read.
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James Kil is a licensed professional who is experienced in arranging for real estate transactions, including but not limited to fostering buyer and seller relationships, as well as representing one or both parties during negotiations. During these negotiations, James Kil is perfectly capable of communicating with each involved party and navigating their interests. For the benefit of both parties, James Kil focuses on profitability for sellers and a fruitful, comfortable buying experience for buyers. Of course, James Kil does this all without alienating either nor jeopardizing their assets. At the end of the day, James Kil strives to make clients sell their homes at a sizable profit and let buyers attain their dream homes.
James Kil
REALTOR®
DRE# 02120566
James Kil
REALTOR®
DRE# 02120566
NAVIGATION
LEAVE IT TO ME
PROPERTY ORGANIZER
James Kil
REALTOR®
DRE# 02120566
NAVIGATION
LEAVE IT TO ME
James is a native San Franciscan and has been in the industry since 2012. James' expertise is grounded in risk-averse assessments and analysis. He specialized in junior mortgage loans before honing his abilities in risk mitigation before becoming a mortgage underwriter for Wells Fargo. He eventually found himself in a position as a leading mortgage/asset expert as a Capital Markets Associate on the secondary markets. His background allows him to comfortably tune in to the ebbs and flows of the ever-changing market and provide uniquely catered advice to anyone. He has built an extensive team of partners, e.g. stagers, tilers, contractors, painters, floor guys, stagers, movers, cleaners, and lenders.
The property information herein is derived from various sources that may include, but not be limited to, county records and the Multiple Listing Service, and it may include approximations. Although the information is believed to be accurate, it is not warranted and you should not rely upon it without personal verification. Not intended as a solicitation if your property is already listed by another broker. Affiliated real estate agents are independent contractor sales associates, not employees. ©2023 Coldwell Banker. All Rights Reserved. Coldwell Banker and the Coldwell Banker logos are trademarks of Coldwell Banker Real Estate LLC. The Coldwell Banker® System is comprised of company owned offices which are owned by a subsidiary of Anywhere Advisors LLC and franchised offices which are independently owned and operated. The Coldwell Banker System fully supports the principles of the Fair Housing Act and the Equal Opportunity Act.
James Kil | All Rights Reserved
James Kil | All Rights Reserved
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